-bk-I 8/13 200d LETF MA Risk On/Off | 09/13/23 mod
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Rules-based rotation: lever up in uptrends, play defense in downtrends. Diversifies across Nasdaq, S&P 500, semis, financials, utilities and Treasuries, using cash, gold, oil, dollar, volatility or inverse ETFs when trends turn.
The portfolio is split into 6 sleeves: 30% Nasdaq, 30% S&P 500, 10% each in Financials, Semis, Utilities, and long Treasuries. If a sleeve is above its ~200‑day average, it buys 2–3x bull funds; if below, it rotates to T‑bills, gold, oil/energy, the US dollar, volatility, or inverse ETFs. Short‑term “hot/cold” readings fine‑tune timing and pick the strongest defensive pair.
Goal: go fast in clear uptrends, play defense when trends weaken.
Out-of-sample, this multi-sleeve trend strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P: oos return ~47% vs 22%, oos Sharpe ~1.58 vs 1.36, Calmar ~2.0. Leveraged gains in uptrends with risk-off hedges; max drawdown ~23.7%.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 13, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical rotation, leveraged etfs, risk-on/off, sector sleeves, hedged/short-capable, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks