☢ 2Outrageously Overfit
Today’s Change (Jul 31, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily “buy the dip, sell the rip” in 3× tech/semis, flipping to volatility or inverse funds when markets look overheated, with a quick bond‑market risk filter. Extremely aggressive and concentrated.
It watches a short‑term “heat meter” (RSI, a 0–100 score of how fast price rose/fell) on Nasdaq/tech. When very hot, it bets on a pullback with UVXY (volatility) or inverse funds (SOXS/TECS/SQQQ). When very cold, it buys 3× bulls (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL/UPRO). A quick bond check (BIL vs IEF/LQD, TLT trend) decides risk‑on vs risk‑off. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return ≈48% with alpha ≈0.76% and Sharpe ≈0.87, plus a low market beta (~0.06)—offering strong upside and better risk-adjusted odds than the S&P. Note: can suffer deep drawdowns in trending markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.63 | -0.1 | 0 | -0.02 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174.66% | 17.1% | -0.68% | 3.47% | 0.88 | |
| 64,209,370,104.79% | 2,276.93% | 117.35% | 68.92% | 3.77 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,420,937,020,479.40Regulatory Fees
$7,954,679,803.13
Total Slippage
$11,296,506,055.24
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical trading, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility timing, tech/semis focus, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 63 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EPI
WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF
Stocks