Stop the Drop and Diversify a modified Opus-12 by Perfekt
Today’s Change (Apr 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, low-trading portfolio that flips to defense when fear spikes. In normal times it blends core stocks, top sectors, value, and trend-following commodities with hedges like gold, the US dollar, and managed futures to limit big drawdowns.
Step 1: Is fear spiking? If a “fear index” runs hot, the plan switches to crash mode.
- If stocks are still in an uptrend, it buys one boosted index fund (2x S&P 500 or 2x Nasdaq), whichever just fell more.
- If not, it parks in safe assets (T‑bills/short bonds, strong USD, gold/silver).
Step 2: Otherwise, it spreads out: 15% core stocks+bonds (NTSX), 25% diversifiers (gold, USD, managed futures, silver) sized by stability, 25% in the 2 best-performing sectors, 15% in large-cap value funds, and 20% in commodities that are trending up (or cash if not). Few trades; rebalance only when weights drift a lot.
Crash-aware, multi-asset strategy delivers a steadier ride: out-of-sample drawdown 13.7% vs 18.8% for the S&P, lower beta, and diversified hedges, aiming for more predictable, risk-controlled returns and resilience in stressed markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 0.42 | 0.52 | 0.72 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163.28% | 15.29% | 5.16% | 1.72% | 0.81 | |
| 171.93% | 15.83% | 1.27% | 3.5% | 1.33 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$27,193.20Regulatory Fees
$33.62
Total Slippage
$203.01
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, crash protection, sector rotation, commodity momentum, managed futures, value tilt, volatility targeting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBE
Invesco DB Energy Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
FNDX
Schwab Fundamental U.S. Large Company ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
NTSX
WisdomTree U.S. Efficient Core Fund
Stocks