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Colin's BTC Strategy
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About

A daily, rules-based Bitcoin strategy. If stocks are trending up, it rides Bitcoin with 3× leverage. If not, it can park in T‑Bills, switch to bonds/rates, or even short Bitcoin, guided by short-term trend and a simple 0–100 momentum score (RSI).
NutHow it works
Daily check: 1) If SPY (US stocks) is above its 100‑day average price (an uptrend), buy BITU (3× long Bitcoin). 2) Else, if Bitcoin recently fell >5% from a 10‑day high (max drawdown), hold BIL (T‑Bills). 3) Else, if Bitcoin is below its 10‑day average, own the strongest of SBIT (3× short Bitcoin), BSV (short‑term bonds), or TBT (inverse long Treasuries) by 5‑day RSI (a 0–100 “more ups than downs” score). 4) Else, if RSI>50 hold SBIT; otherwise hold BITU.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, a regime-driven Bitcoin strategy targets ~21% annualized return vs SPY ~16%, with Sharpe ~0.63 and Calmar ~0.42. Drawdowns can reach ~50%, but offers upside in up-market regimes and diversified risk-off protection.
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 15, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto/bitcoin, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, momentum (rsi), trend (moving average), risk-on/off, tactical allocation, treasuries/bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type